Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.464591 0.601332 0.750210 0.922138 1.113207 1.317275 1.550029
2025-02-16 0.302428 0.489695 0.714997 0.995344 1.325868 1.695776 2.134327
2025-02-23 0.200031 0.399509 0.660873 1.004699 1.426567 1.912725 2.502404
2025-03-02 0.112593 0.300744 0.574954 0.958301 1.447892 2.027945 2.746223
2025-03-09 0.053847 0.218440 0.492229 0.900555 1.442791 2.101792 2.932889
2025-03-16 0.022994 0.164749 0.437896 0.870694 1.465040 2.202568 3.146226
2025-03-23 0.010618 0.140545 0.424002 0.893187 1.552219 2.381113 3.451391
2025-03-30 0.002668 0.113878 0.399576 0.896290 1.610902 2.522230 3.709804
2025-04-06 NaN 0.084888 0.362928 0.876104 1.634759 2.617066 3.909835
2025-04-13 NaN 0.077506 0.367736 0.919490 1.745633 2.822760 4.246613
2025-04-20 NaN 0.071797 0.374697 0.965677 1.860169 3.033178 4.589477
2025-04-27 NaN 0.064517 0.376159 1.002038 1.960459 3.225055 4.909367
2025-05-04 NaN 0.065042 0.399344 1.079547 2.126508 3.511630 5.359558
2025-05-11 NaN 0.059952 0.407554 1.132635 2.259400 3.757493 5.762288
2025-05-18 NaN 0.048669 0.395439 1.149131 2.338308 3.931657 6.074114
2025-05-25 NaN 0.028719 0.347124 1.097683 2.315585 3.970210 6.213866
2025-06-01 NaN 0.013373 0.296880 1.035879 2.273300 3.979799 6.314496
2025-06-08 NaN 0.005812 0.264933 1.003585 2.272083 4.041884 6.479682
2025-06-15 NaN 0.003796 0.261928 1.027868 2.357248 4.220850 6.794933
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001571 0.249380 1.031209 2.409258 4.354319 7.051447
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000100 0.226192 1.009440 2.420536 4.431180 7.234256
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000047 0.234448 1.056211 2.540643 4.658185 7.612174
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000023 0.243981 1.105920 2.665612 4.892139 7.999444